Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001950 0.002086 0.002227 0.002384 0.002555 0.002735 0.002940
2024-12-22 0.001744 0.001932 0.002136 0.002375 0.002645 0.002945 0.003302
2024-12-29 0.001586 0.001805 0.002051 0.002347 0.002696 0.003097 0.003594
2025-01-05 0.001469 0.001710 0.001986 0.002329 0.002746 0.003240 0.003874
2025-01-12 0.001359 0.001611 0.001907 0.002283 0.002752 0.003323 0.004078
2025-01-19 0.001280 0.001542 0.001856 0.002264 0.002784 0.003434 0.004317
2025-01-26 0.001178 0.001438 0.001754 0.002173 0.002718 0.003413 0.004380
2025-02-02 0.001154 0.001430 0.001772 0.002232 0.002844 0.003643 0.004783
2025-02-09 0.001125 0.001412 0.001774 0.002270 0.002943 0.003839 0.005152
2025-02-16 0.001123 0.001429 0.001820 0.002366 0.003123 0.004155 0.005704
2025-02-23 0.001083 0.001393 0.001795 0.002365 0.003168 0.004283 0.005994
2025-03-02 0.001026 0.001331 0.001731 0.002307 0.003129 0.004289 0.006102
2025-03-09 0.000977 0.001283 0.001690 0.002283 0.003147 0.004392 0.006383
2025-03-16 0.000940 0.001248 0.001664 0.002282 0.003198 0.004546 0.006758
2025-03-23 0.000897 0.001204 0.001625 0.002258 0.003214 0.004647 0.007054
2025-03-30 0.000861 0.001167 0.001592 0.002242 0.003238 0.004763 0.007382
2025-04-06 0.000819 0.001121 0.001544 0.002198 0.003218 0.004806 0.007590
2025-04-13 0.000788 0.001087 0.001513 0.002180 0.003235 0.004907 0.007903
2025-04-20 0.000739 0.001027 0.001440 0.002093 0.003139 0.004819 0.007878
2025-04-27 0.000733 0.001029 0.001459 0.002149 0.003275 0.005120 0.008565
2025-05-04 0.000722 0.001023 0.001465 0.002186 0.003379 0.005374 0.009189
2025-05-11 0.000725 0.001039 0.001506 0.002278 0.003582 0.005809 0.010189
2025-05-18 0.000706 0.001019 0.001489 0.002277 0.003625 0.005968 0.010671